Travis Kann, Lanny Cardow and Colin MacDonald talk Trump, Trudeau, M-103, and leadership race math in our end-of-the-month panel discussion.
How do Canadians feel about upcoming legalization? For this episode, we talk about the results from Navigator's monthly poll, tracking public opinion on the changing market.
John Prentice, CEO of Ample Organics; Chris Kelly, Principle at Navigator Ltd.
Lanny Cardow, Principal at Navigator, makes his first appearance on the show to talk about how Trudeau and Trump's meeting went and why there are other things to talk about besides the next handshake.
We go through how cannabis gets from seed-to-sale by talking about three companies that are using technology to make the process more efficient, more transparent, and to improve the consumer experience.
Allie and Colin talk about upcoming NAFTA negotiations and whether or not the speculation that Trudeau might not be up to the task is fair.
There's confusion around the current regulations for marijuana. We clarify what's legal and what's not, who can sell it, who can buy it, and where dispensaries fit in.
I'm pretty excited to share our latest project with you. Today, we launched Legalized, our new podcast which will look at the emerging cannabis sector from a public affairs and regulatory perspective.
This is kind of like episode 0.5, to set the stage for our first episode. There are a number of competing objectives and goals with legalizing recreational marijuana use. There are also a lot of questions that need to be answered: How will distribution work? Who will be responsible for what? What will be legal on day one?
Join us as we talk about all of these issues and consider where regulation is headed.
This week we had to take the show on the road. An unexpected trip to Montreal meant we had to get a little bit more creative with our production. So instead of going through our top three issues, we decided to focus on the top issue of the week: electoral reform. And this week, when we say electoral reform, we mean the Liberal government’s mydemocracy.ca survey that generated a lot of criticism both online and offline.
According to the site, the purpose of the survey is:
MyDemocracy.ca is an innovative way to join the national conversation on electoral reform. By answering a few questions, you can draw a picture of your democratic values. You can share your results with friends. It only takes a few minutes to answer and your feedback will help shape a healthier democracy.
As you answer the questions, remember that there are no wrong answers and your individual responses will always remain anonymous. This is a different way of consulting Canadians – we hope you enjoy this, and learn something too. Thank you for participating.
However, our special guests had some different feelings about its intention.
Allie and David are joined by Travis Kann to talk about the fall economic update, CETA (again), the Liberal government’s pay-to-play scandal, and of course, the American election.
Fall Economic Update
Finance Minister Bill Morneau announced that the Liberal government will continue with its deficit spending plan. Earlier in the week he announced an additional $81 billion for things like infrastructure and transit, that will be spent over the next 11 years. This includes the creation of a new infrastructure bank. While not surprising, the announcement was met with criticism from the Conservatives – who say the Liberals have failed to create any new jobs but continue to spend, and the NDP – who say that increased infrastructure spending will mean increased privatization to balance it out.
CETA, Take Two
With some back-and-forth action and a signed deal, the government – and specifically Minster of International Trade, Chrystia Freeland – can rest a bit easier. The 1,600-page document was ratified this week, and Canadians were paying attention. But it wasn’t all celebrating: online, criticism focused on how much power corporations are given in the deal and the general feeling was that the trade agreement will only help the rich get richer. Additionally, with the deal being seven years in the making, most of the praise for the dealing finally going through was directed at the former Conservative administration, rather than the current Liberal government.
The Liberal government just can’t seem to shake its elitist reputation. With the Conflicts of Interest and Ethics Commissioner as well as the Lobbying Commissioner both investigating ticket prices for government events, the Liberals are having to defend throwing parties. Tickets for events featuring cabinet members cost roughly around $1,500, causing critics to cry favouritism – with the average Canadian not able to afford the hefty cost, the argument is that there is preferential access to ministers for the rich, allowing them to throw around their influence. However, while it seems dramatic and scandalous, it’s getting much more play in the House and the media than it is with the general population.
This week Allie, Colin and David talk about CETA, Canada’s refugee policy, and Trudeau getting heckled at a youth labour conference and take a break from talking about American politics.
Will we, won’t we? Earlier this week, there was drama here and across the Atlantic when the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) between the EU and Canada seemed to fall apart only days before it was supposed to be signed. Wallonia, a region in Belgium, wants safeguards on labour and environmental and consumer standards. They’re also looking for some protection for Walloon farmers in competition with Canadian farmers. Belgium’s federal system requires all six of its regions to be on board to be able to approve the agreement. Considering this deal has been seven years in the making, this was a pretty big deal.
But, everyone has since made up – or at least come to some sort of a consensus. As of Thursday, it appears the deal is back on.
This week, the Conservatives put forward a bill to fast-track Yazidi refugees into Canada. MPs voted unanimously to formally declare the persecution of Yazidis by ISIS a genocide and to prioritize Yazidis over the next four months. However, while the government has promised to the fast-tracking, they haven’t given any hard numbers.
Trudeau gets heckled
The Prime Minister attended a youth labour forum this week, but wasn’t met with a warm welcome. A number of delegates turned their backs on Trudeau and refused to engage with him on a number of issues, including global warming and precarious work.
Earlier in the week Finance Minister Bill Morneau stated that short-term contracts and high job turnover rates were the new normal for youth employment. Many of the delegates found these remarks offensive and that Morneau was suggesting it’s something millennials should just learn to deal with. Additionally, many at the forum heckled Trudeau for continuing with a number of initiatives and targets set by the previous government.
Because of all this, Trudeau basically ended up scolding the room. Whether or not the forum will end up tarnishing the Prime Minister’s brand is debatable, though. The attendees of the forum might be more left-leaning than the average Canadian, and not necessarily representative of the youth vote.
Ugh. Where to start? I mean, where to begin with this most depressing of American presidential campaigns? November 8, 2016 just can’t come soon enough, right? We’ll just all wake up from this horrible dream, relieved it’s over and get back to normal. Such a peaceful thought. If only we could live our lives through rose-coloured lenses. Truth is, I know things aren’t right in this world when I find myself agreeing with a Globe and Mail columnist. John Ibbitson recently predicted that while Trump will likely lose, “he is the final warning to the elites.” I’m afraid he hit this one on the head:
“Unless political elites of both the left and the right become more humble, unless they once again ask themselves how their agendas will play in Peoria, the next rough beast might slouch over the corpse of the republic.”
We shouldn’t underestimate the strength of the anti-establishment sentiment in the US. It’s not going away anytime soon. Those of us looking for a return to normal are in for a surprise if Clinton wins. Her victory will bring immediate relief to just about everyone north of the border, but we won’t have time to catch our breath before an unsatisfied, unhappy underbelly of discontent rears its ugly head. I’d like to think the anti-establishment movement could shed itself of the racist, bigoted, protectionist elements that make it such a foul movement. But, I suppose that’s probably a pipe dream. I’m not the only one yearning for a return to something a little more—I don’t know—gosh darn sincere.
And for a brief moment, we all got that aw shucks sincerity. You may have heard of him. He was an Internet sensation for a couple days (that’s like 80 years in Internet age). Yep. Ken Bone, ye of perfect meme nomenclature. Amongst the wreckage of personal attacks that plagued the second presidential debate, this man-in-the-red-sweater asked a snoozer of a question about energy policy. Proving just how nerdy we really are, the Internet found love at first sight. In hindsight, I suppose it makes sense; Ken provided a respite from the divisiveness of this horrible campaign—a breath of fresh air in a moist, damp locker room.
What followed was as predictable as a Harlequin romance.
We Find Love
Within hours, people already had their perfect Halloween costume. Ken’s Twitter followers grew from a mere 7 to a whopping 250,000. He got play on the Late Night circuit and for a brief time symbolized all that is right with the world. We wanted to know why he went with a red sweater. We wanted him as a candidate. We couldn’t get enough. Why didn’t we see more of this in this campaign?
I’m not sure Ken knew what predicament he found himself in, but it was pretty much the worse place to be: the Internet’s hero. Once you reach that level, you can only fall, usually with a bruising thud. And when the Internet turns on you, it cuts deep. In truth, we all leave a trail on the Internet. And as we started digging, we found that our shiny new object wasn’t so shiny after all.
Our Hearts Are Broken
The debate question everyone loved…“what step will your energy policy take to meet our energy needs while at the same time remaining environmentally friendly and minimizing job loss for fossil power plant workers?”…wasn’t as innocent as it first appeared. Ken works in the coal industry for a company that opposes climate regulations and has dodged current legislation to be environmentally friendly. In hindsight, his question seemed a little more self-serving.
He took to his fame by hosting a Reddit AMA (Ask Me Anything). Sure, he was a gracious host, and started a T-shirt campaign to raise funds to fight homelessness — but he foolishly used his old username, which made it dead simple for anyone to dig into his past musings. He apparently left a comment on a pregnancy subreddit describing expecting mothers as ”beautiful human submarines.” He confessed to viewing naked pictures of Jennifer Lawrence and, uh…enjoying it. He committed felony insurance fraud and even suggested the shooting of Trayvon Martin was “justified.” He used his fame for a one-off Uber promotion in St. Louis. Just like that, our hero had become an “ignorant bonehead”, and a seedy sell-out.
We Piece Some of it Back Together
With the nasty stuff out of the way, some writers tried to paint a picture of a man—who like the rest of us—has many layers. No single person can be summed up in an Internet meme. This same Ken also wrote that he’s a conservative who likes Obama. He wrote a compassionate response to a rape victim. He condemned Stanford rapist Brock Turner.
Now Ken spends what appears to be considerable effort defending himself. He has clarified some of his comments. “I do not condone the shooting of Trayvon Martin. Justifiable means legal, not right.” His Twitter feed now contains links to threads and articles that defend him. He still has fans who work feverishly to push out a more sympathetic narrative of Ken. But most of us have moved on. We’ve already had enough of Ken. He’s yesterday’s news.
I’ll leave it to Ken and his fanbase to defend his words and deeds. I only highlight his story as an example of how fickle we are. We don’t have time for old news. We move from one meme to the next in just about the same amount of time Usain Bolt runs 100 meters. It’s an unforgiving place—time is never on your side, and people are apt to remember the most negative thing that was last said about you. Never mind the full story or context. That’s boring. We want to be entertained.
But, we’ve gotten to the point where that entertainment is blurry. It’s not fun, even if we try to make it that way. There’s no escaping the slog of this campaign season. There was one symbol—even if we never really took it seriously— that was supposed to provide some kind of light in a dark world. Ken, version 1.0, made the Internet pleasant, at least for a couple hours. Now that light doesn’t shine so brightly. In a way, Ken has become a symbol of this campaign. Whenever we have thought that it might get better, it only gets worse. Everywhere we look, it’s ugly. All of it. And I’m afraid it only gets uglier here on in, no matter what happens on November 8.
On that cheery note, let me get back to what really matters.
As originally published for Navigator Ltd.
We are back this week with our regular format and our regular panel. Both Colin MacDonald and David Woolley join Allie to talk about health care transfers, carbon tax, and the presidential debate.
Provincial Health Care Transfers
The provincial and territorial ministers continue to be unhappy with federal health care transfers. In the ongoing debate over funding, most provinces feel like the government should increase funding and leave them alone to decide how is should be spent. Like with most national issues, the arguments revolve around whether provinces are best at deciding how to manage their own policies, or if the federal government should step in and ensure that resources and money are allocated equally across the country.
Federal Health Minister Jane Philpott met with provincial and territorial ministers on Tuesday to continue discussions, but many left the meeting still feeling like the government is imposing.
It’s a tax! A tax! The Liberal government is still being criticized by the opposition for what the conservative party is labelling an unnecessary levy. This week, carbon was mentioned with taxes for music lessons and small businesses, furthering the opposition party’s narrative that Trudeau’s liberals love to spend and have lost touch with the average Canadian.
Premiers continue to oppose the tax for various reasons. Both Brad Wall and Rachel Notley have come out against it – although our panel has suspicions that Brad Wall’s opposition might be more ideologically and opportunistic than it is policy-driven. Notley has stated that she won’t support carbon pricing until the federal government has made some headway on pipelines…but there’s no word on how that’s going yet.
The Presidential Debate
The third and final debate has finally come and gone…and while people can be relieved that it’s over, there’s still that whole election thing that has to happen. Trump was uncharacteristically restrained for the first 30 minutes before reverting back to his old self and giving everyone the soundbites they have come to expect – not the least of which was that he won’t respect the democratic process if he doesn’t win.
All of the campaigning and debating seems to have people down in the dumps. Over the past week a number of compilation videos of Barack Obama’s time in office and of Michelle’s most recent speech have floated around the Internet with wistful comments. In light this campaign, many are wishing both of them could stick around for four more years.
Parliament is on a break this week so we are taking the off week to talk to you about our favourite podcasts.
This week, I join Allie in front of the microphone. It’s probably no surprise that since we make a podcast, we have some strong feelings and opinions on the podcasts we listen to.
Our podcast is not the only one talking about Canadian politics: some of the others also in the game are Canadaland Commons, Maclean’s on the Hill, CBC’s The House, and The Strategists. But we figure if you’re listening to us, you’ve probably already come across these ones before, so we want to share some others with you.
I'm a former political staffer and a general political junkie, so my favourite shows speak to my experiences. I break down FiveThirtyEight’s episode on Barack Obama’s “A More Perfect Union” speech from his 2008 campaign. The episode talks about how the now historic speech came about, and how Obama’s team handled the crisis that preceded it.
I also talk about my new favourite show Candidate Confessional. The podcast goes behind the scenes to talk about political defeat and we look at the episode on Mitt Romney’s 2012 run for the White House. I talk about why I think Stu Stevens, Mitt Romney’s senior strategist, is worth listening to on the highs and lows of political campaigning.
Allie found a new favourite Canadian podcast. She’s a big fan of The Globe and Mail’s new show, Colour code. The podcast talks about something that Canadians tend to shy away from: race. Looking at Canadian issues, examples, and speaking with Canadian experts and Canadians themselves, it’s a refreshing look at our history, our policies, and our perceptions on “multiculturalism.” Allie talks about the two most recent episodes – First Comes Love and 2Legit – and how they relate to her – both personally and professionally.
The top issue this week – for both the Ottawa and the Canadian conversation – is the Liberal government’s carbon pricing plan. Trudeau told the provinces that they either choose to shape up, or they’ll be forced to shape up, in terms of the environment. Basically, provinces have to implement either a cap and trade or a carbon levy that meets the minimum requirements set by the federal government by 2018. That minimum is $10 a tonne for 2018 and the price will rise each year to reach $50 a tonne by 2022. Cue certain provinces being upset that the federal government is imposing on provincial regulation. Cue Saskatchewan Premier Brad Wall posting to Facebook to express his disappointment in Trudeau. Cue certain people in provinces feeling like rural populations will be unfairly taxed in comparison to city dwellers. Of course all of this is, in part, due to Canada’s commitments laid out by the Paris climate agreement. We have to cut our emissions from our 2005 levels by 30% by 2030.
Issue number two for the week is BC LNG. The government conditionally approved a mega liquefied natural gas project. The $36-billion deal would ship 19 million tonnes of LNG. While Rona Ambrose was skeptical of the approval, noting that there will be many more consultations before construction is actually underway, the political reception was fairly positive. Alberta Premier Rachel Notley took the announcement as good news: if the federal government is willing to approve this project, there may be other pipeline projects to follow. As we note on the show, the timing of this announcement works to the Liberal government’s favour. By combining this with the carbon tax news, it covers its bases with both environmental concerns and economic growth.
Our last issue for this week is provincial health care transfers. Trudeau’s government has built its reputation on collaboration and cooperation. However, the ministers aren’t feeling the team love when it comes to health care transfers. The government is following the Harper government’s model, financing 3% of provincial health care, which many of the provinces feel is inadequate to provide quality care to their aging populations. They want to meet with the Prime Minister, but so far he’s playing hard to get. Again, the provinces feel like the federal government is imposing. Currently, health care transfers come with strings: the funding must go to certain initiatives. Initiatives like home services, rather than hospital services. Ministers want to talk this out and revaluate these strings and the dollar amounts associated, but it doesn’t look like anyone’s penciling anything into their calendars any time soon.
That Canada might be negotiating an extradition treaty with China was the top issue coming out of Ottawa this week. The government is discussing what China refers to as “economic criminals” and what Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch feel might be more like “political refugees.” Both China and Canada are saying that Canada shouldn’t be a safe haven for Chinese citizens who have absconded with millions of dollars, but NGOs are skeptical, citing China’s poor human rights record as a strike against a possible treaty. Right now, talks are early and high-level and nothing has been decided.
We’re still discussing the moving expenses “scandal”. After it came to light that the Liberal party footed the bill for a number of staffers to relocate to Ottawa, two senior staffers – Gerald Butts and Katie Telford – took responsibility for their expenses, issuing a statement on Facebook. Both Butts and Telford have promised to reimburse what are considered some of the more extravagant costs. And while this could have fed into the opposition’s narrative of excessive Liberal spending, it’s resulting in more of a finger pointing game: surprise surprise, when called out on their expenses, the Liberals threw it right back to the Conservatives and pointed out spending under Harper’s administration. Basically, everyone’s saying that on Parliament Hill it’s all spend, spend, spend.
And last but not least: Hillary Clinton stood on a stage next to Donald Trump for almost two hours, reminding everyone that this is in fact real life and not a really long SNL cold open. Although it wasn’t discussed in the House, the first US debate was all over broadcast and print media and all over our Canadian conversation. Canadians got the extra benefit of being able to watch and live-tweet the spectacle with a level of remove. But, lest we forget, the results of the 2016 election will be very real come November. So buckle up – right now, two more debates are planned and who knows, someone might call Sean Hannity before the next one.
The House is back and so are we! Welcome to season two of Political Traction. To kick off our new season we’re changing things up a bit. First off, we have a slightly new format: instead of only bringing Colin MacDonald on as a frequent guest, he will be joining Allie and David every week as part of our Political Traction panel. So, every week the three of us will break down the top issues coming out of Ottawa and whether or not they got traction with the Canadian public.
Secondly, we’ve got some new data for you! This season you can sign up for our weekly digest of additional data, delivered right to your inbox.
You can download and sign up for this week’s download below.
And now, without further ado, we bring you this week’s issues: a good news/bad news roundup for the Liberal government.
Justin Trudeau was in New York to speak to the United Nation’s General Assembly. The speech focused on the global migrant crisis and Canada’s commitment for settling refugees. Trudeau has received a lot of praise for the speech, both at home and abroad (but also a little bit of snark). Given that the speech emphasized Canada as a peaceful, open, and welcoming country, a lot of comparisons were made between our national rhetoric and that of Donald Trump (see: skittles). Stating that we need to choose “hope over fear” and “diversity over division”, Trudeau is clearly placing Canada in opposition to the Republican nominee.
The Liberal Government, and Environment Minister Catherine McKenna in particular, are receiving some criticism after announcing they will be sticking with the carbon emission targets set by the Conservatives. In the past, the liberals criticized the targets, calling them the “floor” and that the liberals “want to try to do better.” At the same time McKenna stated that she will impose some sort of fine for provinces that don’t implement a cap and trade system.
And lastly, the government is also receiving some flak for moving expenses for some of its staff. Although completely legal, some of the costs for relocating government staff to Ottawa are questionable, such as legal and real estate fees.
He says outrageous things. He lies. But somehow, he still has a lot of supporters.
In this special episode, we explore what’s going on with Trump and how we can explain voter behavior. Talking with Nelson Wiseman, Professor of Political Science and Director of Canadian Studies at the University of Toronto and Anne Kilpatrick, a Principal on our Research Team, we delve into our current political climate and why someone might support Donald Trump.
Professor Wiseman explains what makes Trump appealing and Anne walks us through the difficulties of asking people why they might do something: getting people to explain their rationales is more complicated than you think.